The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Managua 41.9%
Draw 27.9%
Diriangén 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.6%
27.9%
39.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
25.7%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Managua's performance.
Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diriangén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Managua than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Managua that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Managua - Diriangén Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 2)
10', 1 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
14', 1 - 1, Barja B. ⚽,
16', 1 - 2, Hernandez M. ⚽,
29', 2 - 2, Diaz D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 3 - 2, Ramirez C. ⚽,
79', 3 - 3, Coronel L. ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Managua won 1.
Managua is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In recent matches, Diriangén has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Managua won 5 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:20. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Managua won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:7. (average 1.9:0.7).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Managua FC
10
8
2
0
33:10
23
26
2
Diriangen
10
8
2
0
22:7
15
26
Last Results with these Odds
Diriangén - the odds 2.23 are the expected chance of winning is 39.47%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
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