Match Info

Liga Primera - Apertura - Round 6

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Paraguay	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	DAZN


	Real Estelí		Diriangén

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.25	3.00	2.87
	2.32	3.15	2.65	Watch
	2.26	2.76	3.07
	2.31	3.08	3.21	Watch
	2.2	2.7	3
	2.35	3.02	3.24
	2.18	3	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↓ (3.2)	2.96 ↓ (3.2)	3.01 ↑ (1.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Estelí
39.7%

Draw
30.4%

Diriangén
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.5%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

23.7%

38.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Estelí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Estelí's performance.

Diriangén has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Diriangén might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Estelí than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Estelí that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Diriangén could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Real Estelí - Diriangén Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
74', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals))

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 1.

Real Estelí is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Diriangén's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Real Estelí might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Estelí won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Estelí won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Diriangen	10	8	2	0	22:7	15	26
4	Esteli	10	5	3	2	17:7	10	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Estelí
CONCACAF Central American Cup
18.08.26	Real Estelí - Herediano	0:2 ✺
11.08.26	Real Estelí - Alianza San Miguel	3:1 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
07.08.26	Real Estelí - Walter Ferretti	4:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
04.08.26	Antigua GFC - Real Estelí	0:2 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
30.07.26	Municipal Jalapa - Real Estelí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 LWWWW
- Diriangén FC
CONCACAF Central American Cup
18.08.26	Xelajú - Diriangén	2:0 ✺
13.08.26	Luis Ángel Firpo - Diriangén	4:0 ✺
04.08.26	Diriangén - Alajuelense	1:3 ✺
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
31.07.26	Diriangén - UNAN Managua	1:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
28.07.26	Diriangén - Plaza Amador	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
16.05.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:2 penalties
09.05.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1
11.04.26	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:0
11.02.26	Real Estelí - Diriangén	1:1
25.10.25	Real Estelí - Diriangén	0:0
24.09.25	Diriangén - Real Estelí	1:1
Nicaraguan Copa Primera
15.07.25	Diriangén - Real Estelí	2:1

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