The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Managua 54.4%
Draw 24.6%
Sport Sébaco 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.5%
27.1%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.6%
25.3%
26.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Managua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Managua's performance.
Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sport Sébaco might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Managua than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Managua that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sport Sébaco could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Managua - Sport Sébaco Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (5 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Ramirez C. ⚽,
33', 2 - 0, Diaz D. ⚽,
37', 3 - 0, Ramirez C. ⚽,
44', 4 - 0, Ramos D. ⚽,
45+5', 5 - 0, Ramirez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
55', 6 - 0, Martinez J. ⚽,
72', 6 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Semi~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Managua won 4.
Managua has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Sport Sébaco is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Managua is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Managua will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Managua won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:22. (average 1.9:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Managua won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:14. (average 2.3:1.8).