The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Diriangén 68.3%
Draw 19.1%
Municipal Jalapa 12.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
64.7%
20.9%
14.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.8%
15.1%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Diriangén has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
Municipal Jalapa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Diriangén than the current prediction. (-21.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Diriangén that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Municipal Jalapa than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Municipal Jalapa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Diriangén - Municipal Jalapa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, ⚽,
45', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
85', 🟥,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Apertura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 3.
Recent form of Diriangén has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Jalapa has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Diriangén is the clear favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Diriangén won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:13. (average 1.9:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Diriangén won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 25:5. (average 2.1:0.4).