Match Info

Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN App
Ecuador	DAZN App
Mexico	DAZN App
Nicaragua	Campeones, NicaSports
Paraguay	DAZN App
Peru	DAZN App
Uruguay	DAZN App
Venezuela	DAZN App
World	FIFA+


	Sport Sébaco		Managua

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	3.1	3.4	2
	2.84	3.11	2.44
	3.27	3.6	2.06	Watch
	3.24	3.55	2.09
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.11 ↓ (3.26)	3.41 ↓ (3.66)	2.12 ↑ (2.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sport Sébaco
29.6%

Draw
27%

Managua
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

25.5%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.4%

24.9%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sport Sébaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Managua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Managua than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Sport Sébaco - Managua Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Sport Sébaco (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sport Sébaco (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 0.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Sport Sébaco won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:29. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Sport Sébaco won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 1.1:1.6).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Managua FC	10	8	2	0	33:10	23	26
5	Sport Sebaco	9	3	2	4	9:17	-8	11

Last Results with these Odds

Managua - the odds 2.04 are the expected chance of winning is 45.81%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sport Sébaco
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.02.26	Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Sport Sébaco - UNAN Managua	4:1 ✺
18.02.26	Real Estelí - Sport Sébaco	3:2 ✺
15.02.26	Diriangén - Sport Sébaco	0:1 ✺
12.02.26	Sport Sébaco - Rancho Santana	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 29.2 LWLWW
- Managua FC
Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.02.26	Managua - Municipal Jalapa	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Diriangén - Managua	1:1 ✺
19.02.26	UNAN Managua - Managua	3:1 ✺
15.02.26	Managua - Matagalpa	1:1 ✺
12.02.26	Walter Ferretti - Managua	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

Nicaraguan Liga Primera
25.01.26	Managua - Sport Sébaco	1:0
28.09.25	Managua - Sport Sébaco	4:2
11.08.24	Managua - Sport Sébaco	3:1
06.04.24	Managua - Sport Sébaco	1:1
04.02.24	Sport Sébaco - Managua	3:3
08.10.23	Sport Sébaco - Managua	1:1
12.08.23	Managua - Sport Sébaco	3:4

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