Match Info
Liga Primera - Clausura - Round 10Date: 25 February 2026, WednesdayWhere to Watch on TV: | |
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 Nicaragua | Campeones, NicaSports |
 World | FIFA+ |
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 |
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Matagalpa |
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Sport Sébaco |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.25 |
3.4 |
|
 |
1.95 |
3.25 |
3.4 |
|
 |
2.1 |
3.38 |
3.2 |
|
 |
2.07 |
3.53 |
3.3 |
 Watch |
 |
2.05 |
3.1 |
3.25 |
|
 |
2.07 |
3.43 |
3.45 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.03 ↑
(2.02) |
3.32 ↓
(3.6) |
3.33 ↓
(3.38) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
- The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Matagalpa
45% | Draw
27.5% | Sport Sébaco
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Matagalpa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Sport Sébaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matagalpa than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Sébaco than the current prediction. (-0.4%)Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Primera (Clausura ~ Winners: Quarter~finals)).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 3.Both teams have been playing unpredictably.In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Matagalpa won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.5:1).Including home matches between the teams, Matagalpa won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 1.7:1).
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Last Results with these Odds
Matagalpa - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 46.32%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Nicaraguan Liga Primera | | | 18.01.26 | Sport Sébaco - Matagalpa | 0:1 | | 27.11.25 | Sport Sébaco - Matagalpa | 2:0 | | 21.09.25 | Sport Sébaco - Matagalpa | 0:0 | | 30.03.25 | Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco | 5:2 | | 07.11.24 | Sport Sébaco - Matagalpa | 1:3 | | 31.08.24 | Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco | 1:1 | | 02.03.24 | Matagalpa - Sport Sébaco | 1:1 |
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