Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 9

Date: 18 June 2023, Sunday


	Manaus		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	2	3.1	3.3
	2.08	3.07	3.9
	2	2.88	3.5
	2.04	3.15	3.6	Watch
	2.08	3.15	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.13)	3.07 ↓ (5.5)	3.52 ↑ (2.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manaus
44.6%

Draw
29.6%

EC São José Porto Alegre
25.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

16.2%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8%

16.2%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC São José Porto Alegre might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+16.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC São José Porto Alegre could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	8.3%	33.3%

Manaus - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Manaus will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). EC São José will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Manaus: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Guilherme (G) 4. Bruno Bispo (C) 8. Felipe Baiano 11. Franklin 5. Gilson Alves 7. Gustavinho 10. Joao Lucas 9. Klenisson 2. Lucas Mota 3. Luis Fernando 6. Renan Luis	1. Fabio (G) 18. Alessandro Vinicius 4. Jadson 8. Karl 21. Kayan 5. Lucas Cunha 17. Nonato 3. Ryan 7. Sillas 20. Thalys 11. Thayllon
Substitutes
16. Capa 21. Gabriel Correia 14. Gabriel Tonini 15. Gharib 13. Gustavo Fagundes 20. Helio Paraiba 18. Henan 19. Lucas Carvalho 12. Reynaldo (G) 22. Vinicius Taquini (G)	2. Bruno Jesus 13. Dener 15. Lissandro 12. Lorenzo (G) 6. Lucas Sampaio 16. Matheuzinho 14. Rafael Carillho 19. Thiago Santos 10. Thiaguinho 9. Vitinho

Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Manaus is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

EC São José Porto Alegre is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

EC São José Porto Alegre could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Manaus have a series of guest games.

Manaus will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Manaus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Manaus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manaus FC
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.23	Amazonas - Manaus	2:0 ✺
08.06.23	CS Alagoano - Manaus	2:1 ✺
03.06.23	Manaus - Volta Redonda	1:0 ✺
27.05.23	Ypiranga - Manaus	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	Paysandu - Manaus	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLWLL
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
11.06.23	Ypiranga - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
07.06.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Altos	4:1 ✺
04.06.23	Paysandu - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
27.05.23	Brusque - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 ✺
22.05.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Remo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
22.05.22	Manaus - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1

Manaus - EC São José Porto Alegre: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide