Match Info

BRAZIL: SERIE C - FIRST STAGE - ROUND 6

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday


	Paysandu		EC São José Porto Alegre

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.8
	1.85	3	4.25
	1.88	3.15	4.61
	1.88	2.9	3.9
	1.87	3.25	4.1	Watch
	1.98	3.05	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↑ (1.86)	3.06 ↑ (2.9)	4.06 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paysandu
48%

Draw
29.7%

EC São José Porto Alegre
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

30.6%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

33.2%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

EC São José Porto Alegre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Paysandu - EC São José Porto Alegre Predictions

Users Predictions: Paysandu will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
18. Alan (G) 21. Arthur Santos 39. Bruno Alves 12. Geovane 32. Igor Fernandes 16. Joao Vieira 9. Mario Sergio 27. Nene Bonilha 3. Paulao (C) 20. Robinho 4. Wanderson	1. Fabio (G) 18. Alessandro Vinicius 4. Jadson 8. Karl 11. Kayan 5. Lucas Cunha 20. Matheuzinho 17. Nonato 3. Ryan 7. Sillas 9. Ze Andrade
Substitutes
2. Edilson 11. Fernando Gabriel 40. Gabriel Bernard (G) 19. Gabriel Furtado 14. Juninho 17. Luis Phelipe 31. Naylhor 26. Rodolfo Filemon 37. Roger 25. Serra P. 10. Vinicius Leite	2. Bruno Jesus 13. Dener 12. Lorenzo (G) 6. Lucas Sampaio 15. Neko 14. Rafael Carillho 16. Thayllon 19. Thiago Santos 10. Thiaguinho 21. Vitinho

Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

EC São José Porto Alegre could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Paysandu is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Paysandu won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Copa Verde
31.05.23	Goiás - Paysandu	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
28.05.23	Volta Redonda - Paysandu	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
24.05.23	Paysandu - Cametá	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
21.05.23	Paysandu - Manaus	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
17.05.23	Paysandu - Goiás	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWWL
- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
27.05.23	Brusque - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:1 ✺
22.05.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Remo	2:1 ✺
15.05.23	Operário Ferroviario - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
06.05.23	Náutico Capibaribe - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:1 ✺
02.05.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Floresta	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.05.22	EC São José Porto Alegre - Paysandu	2:0
03.08.19	EC São José Porto Alegre - Paysandu	1:1
02.06.19	Paysandu - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1

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