Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie C - First stage - Round 19

Date: 24 August 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Passo d'Areia (Porto Alegre)

Referee: do Nascimento W. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	EC São José Porto Alegre		Remo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.8	3.25	1.82
	4.33	3.4	1.75
	4	3.61	1.83
	4.14	3.58	1.76
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	4.17	3.32	1.8	Watch
	4.33	3.4	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↑ (2.55)	3.38 ↑ (3.1)	1.81 ↓ (2.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

EC São José Porto Alegre
22.6%

Draw
27%

Remo
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.4%

29.1%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

30.2%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

EC São José Porto Alegre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that EC São José Porto Alegre's form might have worsened.

Remo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Remo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC São José Porto Alegre than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for EC São José Porto Alegre, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Remo than the current prediction. (-16.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Remo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68.7%	0%	31.2%

EC São José Porto Alegre - Remo Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. EC São José will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Remo will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for EC São José: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fabio Rampi (G) 5. Danielzinho 9. Douglas Oliveira 10. Edinho 3. Fredson 8. Gabriel Terra 4. Jadson 6. Lailson 15. Matheuzinho 11. Nayssinho M. V. 14. Rafael Carillho	88. Marcelo Rangel (G) 8. Bruno Silva (C) 2. Diogo Batista 7. Giovanni Pavani 22. Jaderson 40. Ligger 11. Pedro Vitor 38. Rafael Castro 12. Raimar 6. Savio 19. Ytalo
Substitutes
19. Emerson Brito 7. Evaristo 22. Marcio Jonatan 2. Marcos Calazans 18. Marquinhos 21. Neko 17. Nonato 12. Peralta A. (G) 20. Rene Sousa 16. Samuel 13. Tiago Pedra	4. Bruno Bispo 47. Guilherme Cachoeira 35. Helder Santos 21. Kelvin 32. Leo Lang (G) 10. Matheus Anjos 16. Paulinho Curua 9. Ribamar 95. Rodrigo Alves 3. Sheldon 23. Vidal
Coaches
Zimermann R.	Rodrigo Santana

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Rafael Carillho 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Bruno Silva 🟨,
63', Ligger 🟨,
68', Ytalo ↓, Ribamar ↑,
68', Pedro Vitor ↓, Rodrigo Alves ↑,
73', Nayssinho M. V. ↓, Rene Sousa ↑,
78', Rodrigo Alves 🟨,
80', Gabriel Terra ↓, Nonato ↑,
85', Matheuzinho ↓, Evaristo ↑,
85', Edinho ↓, Tiago Pedra ↑,
85', Fredson ↓, Marcio Jonatan ↑,
90+4', Bruno Silva ↓, Paulinho Curua ↑,
90+4', Jaderson ↓, Kelvin ↑,

Preview

EC São José Porto Alegre is Relegated to Serie D

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Remo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches EC São José Porto Alegre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-5.

Including matches at home between the teams EC São José Porto Alegre won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC São José Porto Alegre
Brazilian Serie C
18.08.24	Figueirense - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
10.08.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - São Bernardo	3:0 ✺
03.08.24	ABC - EC São José Porto Alegre	0:0 ✺
28.07.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	EC São José Porto Alegre - Aparecidense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TWTLL
- Clube Do Remo
Brazilian Serie C
17.08.24	Remo - Londrina	3:0 ✺
10.08.24	Confiança - Remo	1:0 ✺
05.08.24	Remo - Aparecidense	1:0 ✺
27.07.24	Figueirense - Remo	1:0 ✺
22.07.24	Remo - CS Alagoano	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
22.05.23	EC São José Porto Alegre - Remo	2:1
23.04.22	Remo - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:2
16.08.19	Remo - EC São José Porto Alegre	2:0
13.06.19	EC São José Porto Alegre - Remo	1:0

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