Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 9 - Round 15

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Mancha Real		Granada B

	1	X	2
	3.37	2.98	2.13
	3.79	3.12	1.99	Watch
	3.8	2.9	2
	3.65	2.99	2.03
	3.75	3.14	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.67 ↑ (3.6)	3.03 ↓ (3.1)	2.02 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mancha Real
24.8%

Draw
30.1%

Granada B
45.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29.3%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

28.2%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mancha Real has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Granada B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mancha Real than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Granada B than the current prediction. (+2%)

Mancha Real - Granada B Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Rentero C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 1.

Mancha Real has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Granada B is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Granada B could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Mancha Real won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mancha Real
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
14.12.25	Huétor Vega - Mancha Real	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Mancha Real - Huétor Tájar	1:1 ✺
16.11.25	Mancha Real - Martos	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mijas-Las Lagunas - Mancha Real	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Mancha Real - Marbellí	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LTTLL
- Granada B
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 9
14.12.25	Granada B - Arenas Armilla	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Churriana de la Vega - Granada B	2:0 ✺
23.11.25	Granada B - Torreperogil	3:0 ✺
16.11.25	Atlético Porcuna - Granada B	1:2 ✺
09.11.25	Granada B - Torre Del Mar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
16.04.23	Granada B - Mancha Real	3:2
04.12.22	Mancha Real - Granada B	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
20.02.22	Granada B - Mancha Real	3:0
03.10.21	Mancha Real - Granada B	0:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
08.01.17	Mancha Real - Granada B	1:0
21.08.16	Granada B - Mancha Real	1:1

Mancha Real - Granada B: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide