Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 11

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Manchego		El Palo

	1	X	2
	2.55	2.85	2.65
	2.6	2.95	2.8	Watch
	2.63	2.84	3.01
	2.64	2.77	3.01
	2.54	2.9	2.75
	2.45	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.29)	2.87 ↓ (2.89)	2.85 ↓ (3.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchego
35.8%

Draw
32%

El Palo
32.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

31.6%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

32.4%

27.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

El Palo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Palo than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Manchego - El Palo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Manchego is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches El Palo is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Manchego could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Manchego will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Manchego	1:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Manchego - Antequera	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Manchego - Vélez	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Sevilla B - Manchego	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Manchego - San Roque de Lepe	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 TLTLL
- CD El Palo
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
05.11.23	El Palo - Águilas	0:1 ✺
29.10.23	Yeclano Deportivo - El Palo	0:0 ✺
22.10.23	El Palo - Betis B	2:0 ✺
15.10.23	La Unión - El Palo	1:2 ✺
08.10.23	El Palo - Antoniano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 LTWWT

Manchego - El Palo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide