Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 10

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	UCAM Murcia		Manchego

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.8	6
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.44	4.02	7.46
	1.44	4.03	7.46
	1.4	3.98	7.4
	1.45	3.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.59)	3.94 ↑ (3.4)	6.94 ↑ (5.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
63.5%

Draw
23.3%

Manchego
13.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

26.7%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

18.7%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-23.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Manchego could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCAM Murcia - Manchego Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches UCAM Murcia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Manchego has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Manchego could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match UCAM Murcia is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia CF
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	UCAM Murcia - Linares Deportivo	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
29.10.23	Águilas - UCAM Murcia	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	UCAM Murcia - Yeclano Deportivo	4:1 ✺
15.10.23	Betis B - UCAM Murcia	2:0 ✺
08.10.23	UCAM Murcia - La Unión	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLWLW
- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Manchego - Antequera	1:3 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Manchego - Vélez	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Sevilla B - Manchego	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Manchego - San Roque de Lepe	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Manchego	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL

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