Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/64-FINALS

Date: 1 November 2023, Wednesday


	Manchego		Antequera

	1	X	2
	4	3.3	1.95
	3.4	3.2	2.2	Watch
	3.4	3.1	2.15	Watch
	3.52	3.06	2.15
	3.6	3.2	2.15	Watch
	3.58	3.13	2.16	Watch
	3.5	3.15	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.57 ↑ (3.2)	3.16 ↑ (3.1)	2.12 ↓ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchego
26.2%

Draw
29.6%

Antequera
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

30%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.7%

29.6%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchego has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Antequera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchego than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Antequera than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Manchego - Antequera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Mena C. (G) 2. Duran J. 30. Hilderink M. 23. Dias J. 3. Ruiz N. 28. Gui R. 16. Casais S. 4. Jimenez A. 7. Ramon J. 19. Castroviejo A. 22. Hernandez A.	13. Puerto E. (G) 26. Spatz L. M. 5. Marcelo A. 17. Garcia A. 6. Pavon A. 16. Marin A. 10. Nunez C. 18. Ilahude D. 20. Rydstrand J. 23. Hidalgo A. 29. Topo
Substitutes
21. Aguirre D. 14. Calin E. 1. Cordoba I. (G) 26. Illescas D. 11. Jimenez C. 25. Marquez I. 18. Rossi T. 5. Ross M.	7. Buron L. 27. Enokpa D. 4. Humanes D. 8. Kameni I. C. (G) 14. Pais N. 9. Redondo L. 2. Rodriguez D. 15. Solano R. 19. Sousa C.

Preview

Manchego is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Antequera is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Antequera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Antequera will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Manchego Ciudad Real
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
28.10.23	Manchego - Vélez	1:1 ✺
22.10.23	Sevilla B - Manchego	3:0 ✺
14.10.23	Manchego - San Roque de Lepe	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Racing Cartagena MM - Manchego	2:0 ✺
30.09.23	Manchego - Linense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TLLLW
- Antequera CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Antequera - Málaga	0:2 ✺
22.10.23	Melilla - Antequera	0:1 ✺
15.10.23	Antequera - Intercity	1:1 ✺
07.10.23	Mérida AD - Antequera	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Antequera - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LWTWW

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