Match Info

WSL - Round 11

Date: 14 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Academy Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Dowle K. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 4
Australia	Stan Sport
Brazil	Disney+
Canada	Sportsnet+
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Germany	DF1, Sportdigital1+
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
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South-america	ESPN 4 South
Spain	M+ Ellas V
Sweden	SVT Play
Switzerland	Blue Sport 9, Blue Sport 9, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Sky Go Extra, Sky Go
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	Disney+, Inter


	Manchester City		Aston Villa

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.5	11
	1.21	5.5	9.2
	1.22	6.47	10.59
	1.23	6.24	10.64	Watch
	1.22	5.75	11
	1.2	5.65	11.4
	1.22	6	9.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.22 ↓ (1.26)	5.87 ↑ (5.47)	10.48 ↑ (8.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
75.6%

Draw
15.7%

Aston Villa
8.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

72.6%

16.7%

10.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

Aston Villa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Manchester City - Aston Villa Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Aston Villa (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Aston Villa (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yamashita A. (G) 18. Casparij K. (C) 4. Rose J. 27. Knaak R. 15. Ouahabi L. 19. Blindkilde L. 25. Hasegawa Y. 20. Fujino A. 10. Miedema V. 11. Hemp L. 9. Shaw K.	1. D'Angelo S. (G) 16. Maritz N. 4. Patten A. 15. Parker L. 23. Grant C. 25. Taylor M. 21. Kendall L. 38. Maltby R. 13. Hijikata M. 9. Daly R. (C) 20. Hanson K.
Substitutes
24. Beney I. 6. Clinton G. 7. Coombs L. 1. Cumings E. (G) 5. Greenwood A. 14. Kerolin 22. Lohmann S. 46. Murphy L. 28. Prior G.	24. Deslandes O. 7. Kearns M. 2. Mayling S. 18. Mullet G. 26. Roebuck E. (G) 22. Sallaway L. 17. Salmon E. 5. Staniforth L. 3. Tomas P.
Coaches
Jeglertz A.	Arroyo N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Miedema V. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Hasegawa Y. (A),
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Maltby R. ↓, Tomas P. ↑,
56', Knaak R. 🟨,
59', Hanson K. ↓, Mullet G. ↑,
59', Hijikata M. ↓, Kearns M. ↑,
62', 3 - 0, Fujino A. ⚽, Miedema V. (A),
65', Ouahabi L. ↓, Greenwood A. ↑,
65', Blindkilde L. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
66', Hemp L. ↓, Kerolin ↑,
70', 3 - 1, Parker L. ⚽, Kearns M. (A),
70', Kendall L. ↓, Staniforth L. ↑,
70', Maritz N. ↓, Deslandes O. ↑,
73', 4 - 1, Miedema V. ⚽, Fujino A. (A),
77', Fujino A. ↓, Beney I. ↑,
84', 5 - 1, Shaw K. ⚽, Kerolin (A),
85', Miedema V. ↓, Lohmann S. ↑,
90+4', 6 - 1, Shaw K. ⚽, Clinton G. (A),

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 5.

Manchester City has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In recent matches, Aston Villa has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Manchester City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Manchester City is the undeniable favorite.

There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M. (Knee Injury) Fowler M. (Knee Injury) Greenwood A. (Knee Injury) Keating K. (Muscle Injury) Layzell N. (Injury) Lohmann S. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Aston Villa: Baijings J. (Knee Injury) Gabi Nunes (Knock)

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 42:12. (average 3.2:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Manchester City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 27:3. (average 3.9:0.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City WFC
English WSL
07.12.25	Leicester City - Manchester City	0:3 ✺
English League Cup Women
22.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester City	0:2 ✺
English WSL
15.11.25	Manchester City - Manchester United	3:0 ✺
09.11.25	Everton - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
01.11.25	Manchester City - West Ham	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WWWWW
- Aston Villa LFC
English WSL
11.12.25	Aston Villa - Liverpool LFC	3:0 ✺
07.12.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Aston Villa	2:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.11.25	Aston Villa - Birmingham City LFC	3:4 penalties ✺
English WSL
16.11.25	Aston Villa - London City Lionesses	1:3 ✺
08.11.25	Manchester United - Aston Villa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.4 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup Women
09.03.25	Manchester City - Aston Villa	2:0
English WSL
25.01.25	Aston Villa - Manchester City	2:4
20.10.24	Manchester City - Aston Villa	2:1
18.05.24	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:2
09.12.23	Manchester City - Aston Villa	2:1
English FA Cup Women
19.03.23	Aston Villa - Manchester City	2:1
English WSL
21.01.23	Manchester City - Aston Villa	1:1

Manchester City - Aston Villa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide