Match Info

WSL - Round 6

Date: 18 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Academy Stadium (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Doughty L. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 2
Australia	00:30	Stan Sport
Canada	09:30	SportsNet 1, Sportsnet+
Germany	15:30	Magenta Sport, Sportdigital1+
Hong Kong	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Sports 5
India	19:00	FanCode
Indonesia	20:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Malaysia	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Netherlands	15:30	Ziggo Sport 3
Nigeria	14:30	SuperSport OTT 2
Norway	15:30	VG+
Philippines	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
Singapore	21:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
South Africa	15:30	SuperSport OTT 2
South Korea	22:30	ENA Sports
Sweden	15:30	TV4 Play
Switzerland	15:30	Blue Sport 2
Thailand	20:30	beIN SPORTS MAX
United Kingdom	14:30	BBC iPlayer, BBC Sport, BBC Two
Usa	09:30	Paramount+
International	13:30	OneFootball TV


	Manchester City		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	7.00
	1.32	5.00	6.25
	1.30	5.30	8.00
	1.34	5.86	7.53
	1.35	5.3	7.1	Watch
	1.31	5.80	7.00
	1.36	5.23	6.98
	1.31	5.40	6.80
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.33 ↓ (1.34)	5.39 ↑ (5.3)	7.08 ↑ (6.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
69.8%

Draw
17.2%

Brighton & Hove Albion
13.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

69.1%

17.5%

13.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

71%

17%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yamashita A. (G) 18. Casparij K. 4. Rose J. 5. Greenwood A. (C) 21. Charles N. 19. Blindkilde L. 25. Hasegawa Y. 20. Fujino A. 6. Clinton G. 11. Hemp L. 9. Shaw K.	16. Nnadozie C. (G) 23. Auee M. 18. Hayes C. 6. George G. 2. Vanegas M. 10. Cankovic J. 8. Symonds M. (C) 11. Seike K. 14. Kirby F. 21. Garcia O. 20. Tvedten O.
Substitutes
24. Beney I. 1. Cumings E. (G) 53. Davies M. 8. Fowler M. 27. Knaak R. 47. Lewis S. 28. Prior G. 37. Wamser C. 13. Wienroither L.	64. Gay E. 15. Joramo E. 28. Loeck M. (G) 5. Mpome M. 35. Murphy E. 19. Olislagers M. 27. Peskett S. 17. Rayner R. 41. Warren T.
Coaches
Jeglertz A.	Ruiz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 2)
5', 1 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Hemp L. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Hemp L. (A),
18', 3 - 0, Charles N. ⚽,
31', 3 - 1, Garcia O. ⚽,
37', 3 - 2, Hayes C. ⚽, Kirby F. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Clinton G. ↓, Fowler M. ↑,
60', Charles N. ↓, Wamser C. ↑,
66', Tvedten O. ↓, Joramo E. ↑,
76', Auee M. ↓, Mpome M. ↑,
76', Cankovic J. ↓, Olislagers M. ↑,
88', George G. ↓, Murphy E. ↑,
90+4', Vanegas M. 🟨,

Preview

The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st and 10th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 4.

Manchester City has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Brighton & Hove have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Recently, Brighton & Hove has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

In this match, Manchester City enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Manchester City: Knaak R. (Ankle Injury) Lohmann S. (Muscle Injury) Miedema V. (Knee Injury) Shimizu R. (Thigh Injury).

Confirmed absences for Brighton & Hove: Haley M. (Inactive) Krezyman N. (Injury) Masaka A. (Knee Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Brighton & Hove: Minami M. (Inactive).

Our forecast points to a victory for Manchester City in today's match, at odds of 1.31.

In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City has recorded 13 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 54:12 (averaging 3.4:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Manchester City against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 21:5 goals (averaging 2.6:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Manchester City W	7	6	1	0	20:9	11	19
9	Brighton W	7	2	2	3	13:10	3	8

Outrights of English WSL for now

Manchester City W: 25.57% Brighton W: 0.74%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City WFC
English WSL
04.10.26	Manchester City - Arsenal LFC	4:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
01.10.26	Manchester City - Real Madrid	1:1 ✺
English WSL
26.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
22.09.26	Bayern Munich - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
English WSL
18.09.26	Manchester City - Liverpool LFC	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTWTW
- Brighton & Hove Albion WFC
English WSL
04.10.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Charlton Athletic	5:1 ✺
English League Cup Women
30.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Tottenham Hotspur	0:1 ✺
English WSL
26.09.26	London City Lionesses - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
23.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Charlton Athletic	4:0 ✺
English WSL
20.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

English FA Cup Women
31.05.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	0:4
English WSL
25.04.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	3:2
12.09.25	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:1
30.03.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	1:2
29.09.24	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:0
17.03.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester City	1:4
12.11.23	Manchester City - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:1

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