Match Info

UEFA Champions League Women - League phase - Round 2

Date: 1 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Academy Stadium (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gasperotti S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SupeSport ESPN 1
Albania	21:00	Disney+
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 7, beIN Sports MENA 9
Austria	21:00	Disney+
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN 5
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Disney+
Brazil	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 4
Bulgaria	22:00	Disney+
Canada	15:00	OneSoccer
Chile	16:00	ESPN 5
Colombia	14:00	ESPN 5
Croatia	21:00	Disney+
Cyprus	22:00	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech Republic	21:00	Disney+
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN 5
Estonia	22:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Disney+
France	21:00	Disney+
Greece	22:00	Disney+
Hong Kong	03:00	beIN Sports 1, Now Player
Hungary	21:00	Disney+
Iceland	19:00	Disney+
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	02:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Italy	21:00	Disney+
Kazakhstan	01:00	Disney+
Kosovo	21:00	Disney+
Laos	02:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN SPORTS MAX, Sooka
Mexico	13:00	TVC Deportes
Netherlands	21:00	Disney+
Nigeria	20:00	SupeSport ESPN 1
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Disney+
Paraguay	15:00	ESPN 5
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5
Poland	21:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Disney+
Romania	22:00	Disney+
Singapore	03:00	beIN Sport 1
Slovakia	21:00	Disney+
South Africa	21:00	SupeSport ESPN
Spain	21:00	Disney+
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	02:00	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
United Kingdom	20:00	Disney+
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	CBS Sports Golazo, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 5, Inter


	Manchester City		Real Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.65	4.75	3.90
	1.66	4.10	4.10
	1.60	4.10	4.60
	1.64	4.45	4.51
	1.65	4.57	4.18	Watch
	1.62	4.40	4.25
	1.66	4.76	3.91
	1.66	4.30	4.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.64 ↓ (1.64)	4.43 ↑ (3.92)	4.19 ↓ (4.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
56.7%

Draw
21%

Real Madrid
22.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.6%

23.3%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.3%

21.5%

19.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Real Madrid has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	14.3%	28.6%

Manchester City - Real Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Manchester City will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Real Madrid will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 5 - over (6.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yamashita A. (G) 18. Casparij K. 4. Rose J. 5. Greenwood A. (C) 37. Wamser C. 19. Blindkilde L. 25. Hasegawa Y. 8. Fowler M. 20. Fujino A. 11. Hemp L. 9. Shaw K.	1. Frohms M. (G) 19. Navarro E. 23. Lakrar M. 22. Andersson B. 4. Cristobal S. 24. Caruso A. 20. Senss E. 17. Jacinto A. 10. del Castillo A. (C) 12. Schroder F. 18. Caicedo L.
Substitutes
24. Beney I. 60. Burdon M. 21. Charles N. 6. Clinton G. 17. Coffey S. 1. Cumings E. (G) 47. Lewis S. 7. Mead B. 14. Moorhouse A. (G) 28. Prior G.	16. Angeldal F. 11. Beerensteyn L. 2. Bejarano N. 9. Bruun S. 5. Comendador P. 8. Dabritz S. 15. Dorado I. 21. Holmgaard S. 7. Keukelaar L. 13. Lopez L. (G) 14. Mendez M. 31. San Martin O.
Coaches
Jeglertz A.	Quesada P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
29', 0 - 1, Caicedo L. ⚽, Jacinto A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 1 - 1, Shaw K. ⚽, Hasegawa Y. (A),
63', Fowler M. ↓, Mead B. ↑,
63', Blindkilde L. ↓, Coffey S. ↑,
63', Fujino A. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
64', Jacinto A. ↓, Dabritz S. ↑,
64', Schroder F. ↓, Beerensteyn L. ↑,
64', del Castillo A. ↓, Keukelaar L. ↑,
68', Caruso A. ↓, Dorado I. ↑,
72', Casparij K. ↓, Charles N. ↑,
84', Caicedo L. ↓, Bruun S. ↑,

Preview

Manchester City is currently on a high with consecutive positive results (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Real Madrid is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

In this matchup, Manchester City is considered the favorite to take the win.

Our forecast points to a victory for Manchester City in today's match, at odds of 1.64.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Manchester City has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Manchester City against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 0:2 goals (averaging 0:1 per game).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Manchester City W	2	0	2	0	3:3	0	2
12	Real Madrid W	2	0	2	0	2:2	0	2

Outrights of UEFA Champions League Women for now

Manchester City W: 8.31% Real Madrid W: 1.83%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City WFC
English WSL
26.09.26	Charlton Athletic - Manchester City	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
22.09.26	Bayern Munich - Manchester City	2:2 ✺
English WSL
18.09.26	Manchester City - Liverpool LFC	4:2 ✺
13.09.26	Aston Villa - Manchester City	1:4 ✺
06.09.26	Manchester City - Birmingham City LFC	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WTWWW
- Real Madrid Women
Spanish Liga F Women
26.09.26	Real Sociedad - Real Madrid	3:5 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
22.09.26	Real Madrid - Paris Saint-Germain	1:1 ✺
Spanish Liga F Women
19.09.26	Real Madrid - Valencia	3:1 ✺
11.09.26	Deportivo A Coruña - Real Madrid	0:2 ✺
06.09.26	Real Madrid - Eibar	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
21.08.22	Manchester City - Real Madrid	0:1
08.09.21	Manchester City - Real Madrid	0:1
31.08.21	Real Madrid - Manchester City	1:1

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