Match Info

WSL - Round 14

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Etihad Stadium (Manchester)

Referee: Burgin M. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport OTT 3, W-sport
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	W-Sport Asia
Australia	Stan Sport
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Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
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Malaysia	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Canal+
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Netherlands	W-Sport, Ziggo Sport 3
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Nigeria	SuperSport OTT 3
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Peru	Disney+
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Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 2
Portugal	W-Sport
Singapore	beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	SportKlub 2
South-africa	SuperSport OTT 3
Spain	M+ Ellas V, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
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Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	W-Sport
United-kingdom	BBC iPlayer app, BBC iPlayer, BBC One, BBC Sport app, BBC Sport
Uruguay	Disney+
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World	Sport 24 Extra


	Manchester City		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.7	2.5
	2.42	3.35	2.52
	2.5	3.71	2.52
	2.47	3.82	2.48	Watch
	2.5	3.4	2.5
	2.51	3.65	2.51
	2.42	3.75	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.59)	3.63 ↑ (3.33)	2.49 ↑ (2.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester City
37.4%

Draw
25.5%

Chelsea
37.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

27.2%

37.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35%

27.1%

37.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manchester City than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Manchester City - Chelsea Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Yamashita A. (G) 18. Casparij K. 4. Rose J. 27. Knaak R. 5. Greenwood A. (C) 19. Blindkilde L. 25. Hasegawa Y. 14. Kerolin 10. Miedema V. 11. Hemp L. 9. Shaw K.	24. Hampton H. (G) 2. Carpenter E. 16. Girma N. 4. Bright M. (C) 30. Walsh K. 18. Kaptein W. 8. Cuthbert E. 5. Buurman V. 17. Baltimore S. 10. James L. 12. Thompson A.
Substitutes
24. Beney I. 6. Clinton G. 17. Coffey S. 7. Coombs L. 8. Fowler M. 20. Fujino A. 35. Keating K. (G) 15. Ouahabi L. 28. Prior G.	33. Beever-Jones A. 19. Kaneryd J. 1. Peng L. (G) 32. Potter A. 11. Reiten G. 38. Spencer R. (G)
Coaches
Jeglertz A.	Bompastor S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Kerolin ⚽,
36', 2 - 0, Shaw K. ⚽, Miedema V. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 1)
49', 3 - 0, Kerolin ⚽,
50', Buurman V. ↓, Kerr S. ↑,
50', Cuthbert E. ↓, Nusken S. ↑,
54', 4 - 0, Kerolin ⚽,
63', Kerolin ↓, Fujino A. ↑,
64', Blindkilde L. ↓, Coffey S. ↑,
64', James L. ↓, Kaneryd J. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Thompson A. ⚽,
72', 5 - 1, Miedema V. ⚽,
73', Walsh K. ↓, Beever-Jones A. ↑,
75', Shaw K. ↓, Fowler M. ↑,
75', Miedema V. ↓, Clinton G. ↑,
90+2', Fujino A. ↓, Coombs L. ↑,
90+10', Greenwood A. ↓, Ouahabi L. ↑,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League Women (League phase: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Chelsea may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Manchester City: Davies M. (Knee Injury) Fowler M. (Knee Injury) Fujino A. (Injury) Layzell N. (Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Aspin B. (Knee Injury) Bjorn N. (Thigh Injury) Buchanan K. (Knee Injury) Charles N. (Ankle Injury) Macario C. (Calf Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Manchester City won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 19:37. (average 1:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Manchester City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 10:18. (average 1:1.8).

Outrights of English WSL for now

Manchester City W: 26.81% Chelsea W: 26.81%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Manchester City W	5	5	0	0	16:6	10	15
2	Chelsea W	5	4	1	0	12:1	11	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester City WFC
English WSL
25.01.26	London City Lionesses - Manchester City	1:2 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
18.01.26	AFC Bournemouth - Manchester City	0:6 ✺
English WSL
11.01.26	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.12.25	West Ham - Manchester City	1:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLWWW
- Chelsea LFC
English WSL
24.01.26	Chelsea - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup Women
17.01.26	Chelsea - Crystal Palace	5:0 ✺
English WSL
11.01.26	Chelsea - West Ham	5:0 ✺
English League Cup Women
21.12.25	Liverpool LFC - Chelsea	1:9 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

English League Cup Women
21.01.26	Manchester City - Chelsea	0:1
English WSL
05.09.25	Chelsea - Manchester City	2:1
UEFA Champions League Women
27.03.25	Chelsea - Manchester City	3:0
English WSL
23.03.25	Manchester City - Chelsea	1:2
UEFA Champions League Women
19.03.25	Manchester City - Chelsea	2:0
English League Cup Women
15.03.25	Chelsea - Manchester City	2:1
English WSL
16.11.24	Chelsea - Manchester City	2:0

Manchester City - Chelsea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide