The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manisa FK 71.8%
Draw 16.3%
Sakaryaspor 11.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.7%
25.2%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.6%
24.2%
27%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+25.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manisa FK's performance.
Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sakaryaspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-23.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manisa FK that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+15.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sakaryaspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
Manisa FK - Sakaryaspor Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 2 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH -1.5 - Manisa (1.78) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
AH +1.75 - Sakaryaspor (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Manisa FK will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Manisa (votes: 4 - 80%). Sakaryaspor (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Bodur S. (G) 70. Kose Y. E. 8. Sonmez K. 13. Ibik A. 19. Erdem U. 24. Dursun Y. 65. Sen A. 23. Kiprit M. 11. Adekanye B. 9. Diony L. (C) 7. Vargas A.
1. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 77. Erdogan E. 28. Coban O. 43. Kocaman A. (C) 18. Dagli E. 80. Kutuk S. 16. Sen K. 99. Yildirim P. 25. Demir A. 17. Karatas H. 30. Tekerci Y.
Substitutes
21. Akboga E. 99. Basar M. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 80. Colak B. 17. Kahraman O. 1. Karakus V. (G) 45. Karapo A. 29. Yurtdas O.
26. Acikgoz A. 32. Akgun O. 23. Bingol M. 33. Olcay M. 35. Ozsipahi B. 36. Sunar Y. 93. Tantan Y. (G) 72. Turan A. 94. Tuzcu D. 20. Yesilyurt E.
Coaches
Pektas A.
Balaban M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
13', 1 - 0, Adekanye B. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Adekanye B. ⚽, Diony L. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Dagli E. ↓, Tuzcu D. ↑,
46', Erdem U. ↓, Can Aslan U. ↑,
46', Sen A. ↓, Akboga E. ↑,
47', Coban O. 🟨,
50', 3 - 0, Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
53', 4 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Kiprit M. (A),
57', 5 - 0, Diony L. ⚽, Kose Y. E. (A),
59', Sen K. ↓, Turan A. ↑,
59', Tekerci Y. ↓, Yesilyurt E. ↑,
61', Yildirim P. 🟨,
63', Kutuk S. 🟨,
66', Kiprit M. ↓, Colak B. ↑,
66', Adekanye B. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
72', Demir A. ↓, Bingol M. ↑,
72', Colak B. 🟨,
78', Coban O. ↓, Sunar Y. ↑,
84', Diony L. ↓, Yurtdas O. ↑,
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Sakaryaspor is Relegated to
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 2.
In recent matches, Manisa has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sakaryaspor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Manisa is the clear favorite.
There will not play in Manisa: Cissokho M.
(Red Card)
Gureler Y.
(Red Card)
Herelle C.
(Yellow Cards)
There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Bekaroglu B.
(Yellow Cards)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Manisa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:10. (average 1.1:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Manisa won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).
Asia
Turkey
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Bodur S. (G) 
Sonmez K. 
Adekanye B. 
Diony L. (C) 
Vargas A. 
