Match Info

1. Lig - Round 36

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Mumin Ozkasap Stadyumu (Manisa)

Referee: Gultekin O. F. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tabii


	Manisa FK		Serik Belediyespor

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.8	4.75	Watch
	1.56	4.06	4.82	Watch
	1.63	4.38	4.9
	1.61	4.3	4.67	Watch
	1.6	4	4.8
	1.63	3.94	4.93	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.6 ↓ (1.76)	4.08 ↑ (3.93)	4.81 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manisa FK
58%

Draw
22.7%

Serik Belediyespor
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

23.6%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.8%

23.1%

23.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manisa FK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manisa FK's performance.

Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Manisa FK - Serik Belediyespor Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Karakus V. (C) 45. Karapo A. 4. Herelle C. 27. Gureler Y. 19. Erdem U. 8. Sonmez K. 20. Benrahou Y. 10. Lindseth J. 11. Adekanye B. 9. Diony L. 7. Vargas A.	21. Sapan V. (G) 55. Skvortsov L. 39. Demirozu M. 28. Montes A. 5. Demir C. 44. Cavlan C. 98. Topalli J. 77. Nalepa M. 20. Dilli S. (C) 79. Altiparmak G. 9. Sadygov I.
Substitutes
22. Bodur S. (G) 77. Can Aslan U. 25. Cissokho M. 24. Dursun Y. 98. Guler K. 13. Ibik A. 17. Kahraman O. 23. Kiprit M. 70. Kose Y. E. 65. Sen A.	15. Akyildiz A. D. 22. Ceylan B. 61. Ibrahimoglu M. 27. Karakaya B. (G) 95. Koc A. 66. Kosker K. 4. Martynov A. 88. Nefiz E. 70. Ozcan S. 2. Tashkyn S.
Coaches
Pektas A.	Petrovic B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Sonmez K. 🟨,
23', Cavlan C. 🟨,
42', Nalepa M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Topalli J. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
63', Demirozu M. 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Diony L. (Penalty Awarded),
66', Montes A. 🟨,
73', Demirozu M. ↓, Ceylan B. ↑,
73', Sadygov I. ↓, Koc A. ↑,
73', Benrahou Y. ↓, Cissokho M. ↑,
76', Ozcan S. 🟨,
77', Vargas A. ↓, Kiprit M. ↑,
85', Sonmez K. ↓, Dursun Y. ↑,
86', Adekanye B. ↓, Kahraman O. ↑,
90+1', Diony L. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

In this match, Manisa is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Manisa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Manisa FK	8	2	3	3	12:12	0	9

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manisa FK
Turkish First League
12.04.26	Vanspor - Manisa FK	0:1 ✺
07.04.26	Manisa FK - Pendikspor	2:0 ✺
03.04.26	Adana Demirspor - Manisa FK	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Manisa FK - Sivasspor	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Amed SK - Manisa FK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WWLLL
- Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League
12.04.26	Keçiörengücü - Serik Belediyespor	0:0 ✺
08.04.26	Serik Belediyespor - Vanspor	1:6 ✺
04.04.26	Sarıyer - Serik Belediyespor	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
14.03.26	Adana Demirspor - Serik Belediyespor	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
13.12.25	Serik Belediyespor - Manisa FK	0:1

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