Match Info

1. Lig - Round 33

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Yeni Sakarya Atatürk Stadıum (Adapazari)

Referee: Ozturk U. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tabii, TRT Spor


	Sakaryaspor		İstanbulspor

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.6	3.7	Watch
	1.91	3.4	3.64	Watch
	1.94	3.52	3.95
	1.9	3.88	3.5	Watch
	1.91	3.5	3.5
	1.89	3.66	3.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.28)	3.59 ↑ (3.46)	3.68 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sakaryaspor
48.9%

Draw
25.8%

İstanbulspor
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

26.9%

32.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

25.9%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.

İstanbulspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and İstanbulspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İstanbulspor than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that İstanbulspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). İstanbulspor will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Szumski J. (G) 2. Ruan Teixeira 4. Cakir B. 86. Bekaroglu B. (C) 14. Demir E. 44. Vukovic J. 21. Yavuz S. 16. Sen K. 10. Pena S. 27. Owusu 99. Yildirim P.	28. Tutar A. (G) 21. Duhaney D. 14. Sahin D. 24. Uzunhan E. 18. Tuncer T. 8. Temel V. 6. Vorobjovas M. (C) 20. Sahan O. 52. Duymaz O. F. 30. Cham A. 77. Krstovski M.
Substitutes
91. Bostan M. 8. Cihan M. 1. Dadakdeniz A. (G) 25. Demir A. 24. Dursun S. 85. Fofana M. 43. Kocaman A. 19. Soro I. 3. Terzi E. 9. Zwolinski L.	11. Aydin D. 33. Ay F. K. 2. Bahadir Y. 83. Dayakli I. 32. Mermerci D. 25. Mert M. 37. Phellipe 7. Sambissa D. 31. Sandikci E. 26. Serbest M. (G)
Coaches
Dalci M.	Kanbak B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
23', 1 - 0, Yildirim P. ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Cham A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
52', Vukovic J. 🟨,
56', 1 - 2, Duymaz O. F. ⚽, Temel V. (A),
62', Demir E. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
62', Owusu ↓, Bostan M. ↑,
67', Sahan O. ↓, Phellipe ↑,
67', Temel V. ↓, Dayakli I. ↑,
68', Sen K. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
68', Cakir B. ↓, Kocaman A. ↑,
75', Bostan M. 🟨,
78', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
80', Cham A. ↓, Aydin D. ↑,
80', Duymaz O. F. ↓, Sambissa D. ↑,
83', Vukovic J. ↓, Zwolinski L. ↑,
84', Krstovski M. 🟨,
85', 2 - 2, Bostan M. ⚽, Yildirim P. (A),
90+1', Krstovski M. ↓, Sandikci E. ↑,
90+1', Bostan M. 🟨,
90+4', Tuncer T. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16).

Sakaryaspor has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

İstanbulspor is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Turken A. (Inactive)

There will not play in İstanbulspor: Aksu D. (Knee Injury) Dogan I. (Face Injury) Emek A. (Suspended) Ologo Inainfe M. (Broken Leg) Ozer Y. (Yellow Cards) Vardar B. (Illness)

There are questionable in İstanbulspor: Duymaz O. F. (Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 2:2.3).

Including home match between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Istanbulspor AS	8	1	2	5	7:19	-12	5

Last Results with these Odds

İstanbulspor - the odds 2.87 are the expected chance of winning is 32.38%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sakaryaspor
Turkish First League
21.03.26	Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor	2:0 ✺
15.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Vanspor	2:1 ✺
11.03.26	Keçiörengücü - Sakaryaspor	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer	0:0 ✺
23.02.26	Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWTTL
- İstanbulspor AŞ
Turkish First League
22.03.26	İstanbulspor - Bodrumspor	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Pendikspor - İstanbulspor	1:1 ✺
11.03.26	İstanbulspor - Amed SK	0:4 ✺
07.03.26	Bandırmaspor - İstanbulspor	1:0 ✺
Turkish Cup
03.03.26	İstanbulspor - Boluspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Turkish First League
22.11.25	İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor	3:3
06.03.25	İstanbulspor - Sakaryaspor	3:0
20.10.24	Sakaryaspor - İstanbulspor	3:1

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