The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Manisa FK 27.8%
Draw 27.5%
Samsunspor 44.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.1%
28.6%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.3%
28.8%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Manisa FK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manisa FK's form might have worsened.
Samsunspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samsunspor's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manisa FK than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manisa FK, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samsunspor, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.4%
23.1%
61.5%
Manisa FK - Samsunspor Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Manisa will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Samsunspor: 35% โ 88%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 11 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super Lig).
Recent matches Manisa is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Samsunspor is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Manisa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Manisa have a series of guest games.
Samsunspor will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Manisa won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.
Including matches at home between the teams Manisa won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.