Match Info

Victoria Premier League - Round 10

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday


	Eltham Redbacks		Northcote City

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.6	2.1
	2.72	3.8	2.08
	2.9	3.85	2.08
	2.84	3.91	2.09	Watch
	2.8	3.4	2.05
	2.85	3.7	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.79 ↑ (2.5)	3.71 ↓ (4.1)	2.08 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eltham Redbacks
32.3%

Draw
24.3%

Northcote City
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

22.2%

41.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37%

21.8%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eltham Redbacks has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Northcote City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eltham Redbacks than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northcote City than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

Eltham Redbacks - Northcote City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
22', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Victoria Premier League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ NPL Victoria).

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

Northcote City might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eltham Redbacks
Australian Victoria Premier League
18.04.26	Melbourne Srbija - Eltham Redbacks	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Eltham Redbacks - North Sunshine Eagles	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	North Geelong Warriors - Eltham Redbacks	3:2 ✺
20.03.26	Eltham Redbacks - Langwarrin	2:1 ✺
14.03.26	Western United U21 - Eltham Redbacks	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWLWW
- Northcote City FC
Australian Victoria Premier League
17.04.26	Northcote City - Port Melbourne Sharks	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Manningham United - Northcote City	0:2 ✺
27.03.26	Melbourne Knights - Northcote City	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Melbourne Srbija - Northcote City	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Northcote City - North Sunshine Eagles	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWLWW

Eltham Redbacks - Northcote City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide