Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 - Round 7

Date: 19 October 2025, Sunday


	Manresa		Grama

	1	X	2
	2.08	3	3.58
	1.46	4.40	5.99	Watch
	2.09	2.99	3.51
	2.24	3.35	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↓ (2.22)	3.44 ↑ (3.3)	3.98 ↑ (2.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
48.4%

Draw
27.7%

Grama
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

27.5%

31.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

28.3%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Manresa's performance.

Grama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grama might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Manresa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grama than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grama could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Manresa - Grama Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Ezzarfani M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', 🟥,
62', 1 - 2, ⚽,
90+3', 1 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 6 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 5 (Play Offs: )).

Now, both teams are in good form.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Manresa won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.2:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Manresa won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Tona - Manresa	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Manresa - Lleida	0:0 ✺
28.09.25	Vilanova - Manresa	1:0 ✺
20.09.25	Manresa - LEscala	2:1 ✺
13.09.25	Vilassar de Mar - Manresa	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WTLWW
- FE Grama
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
12.10.25	Grama - CE Europa B	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Can Vidalet - Grama	1:2 ✺
28.09.25	Tona - Grama	1:3 ✺
21.09.25	Grama - Lleida	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	Vilanova - Grama	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 5
29.09.24	Grama - Manresa	0:1
26.03.22	Manresa - Grama	2:1
21.11.21	Grama - Manresa	1:1
16.05.21	Grama - Manresa	0:1
25.04.21	Manresa - Grama	1:1

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