Match Info

SPAIN: Segunda RFEF - Group 3 - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday


	Manresa		Hércules

	1	X	2
	6	3.6	1.49
	7	3.6	1.52	Watch
	6.69	3.78	1.52
	6.69	3.78	1.52
	6.5	3.67	1.53
	6.4	3.7	1.48
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.55 ↑ (4.69)	3.69 ↑ (3.26)	1.51 ↓ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manresa
14.1%

Draw
25%

Hércules
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

28.4%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.7%

28.3%

52%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manresa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manresa's form might have worsened.

Hércules has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Hércules's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manresa than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manresa, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hércules than the current prediction. (-9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Hércules, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
85', 0 - 1, Mendes M. ⚽,

Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and an outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Manresa is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hércules is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Manresa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Hércules is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Manresa won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Manresa won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CE Manresa
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.04.24	CE Europa - Manresa	4:0 ✺
31.03.24	Manresa - Cerdanyola del Vallès	1:0 ✺
24.03.24	Penya Independent - Manresa	1:0 ✺
17.03.24	Manresa - Andratx	1:2 ✺
10.03.24	Sant Andreu - Manresa	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWLLT
- Hércules CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
07.04.24	Hércules - Atlético Saguntino	3:0 ✺
30.03.24	Alzira - Hércules	0:1 ✺
24.03.24	Hércules - Terrassa	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	La Nucía - Hércules	0:0 ✺
10.03.24	Hércules - Valencia B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 3
03.12.23	Hércules - Manresa	1:0
26.03.23	Manresa - Hércules	0:0
06.11.22	Hércules - Manresa	1:1

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