Match Info

Paulista B - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 27 June 2026, Saturday


	Manthiqueira		José Bonifácio

	1	X	2
	5.75	3.90	1.46
	6.14	3.89	1.49	Watch
	6.25	3.86	1.51
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.05 ↑ (3.5)	3.88 ↑ (3.3)	1.49 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manthiqueira
15.1%

Draw
23.5%

José Bonifácio
61.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.7%

27.3%

46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.9%

26.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manthiqueira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Manthiqueira's form might have worsened.

José Bonifácio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting José Bonifácio's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manthiqueira than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manthiqueira, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for José Bonifácio than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for José Bonifácio, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Manthiqueira - José Bonifácio Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', 0 - 1, Kaua Caveiro ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
58', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Manthiqueira has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

José Bonifácio is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

José Bonifácio could have a small edge in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Manthiqueira
Brazilian Paulista B
20.06.26	Manthiqueira - Mauaense	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Barcelona SP - Manthiqueira	1:5 ✺
06.06.26	Manthiqueira - Itaquá	0:2 ✺
31.05.26	União Mogi - Manthiqueira	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Manthiqueira - Mauá	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWLLW
- José Bonifácio EC
Brazilian Paulista B
20.06.26	America SP - José Bonifácio	1:1 ✺
14.06.26	José Bonifácio - Assisense	1:0 ✺
29.05.26	Santa Fé SP - José Bonifácio	0:2 ✺
24.05.26	José Bonifácio - Tupã	2:1 ✺
17.05.26	José Bonifácio - America SP	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 TWWWT

Manthiqueira - José Bonifácio: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide