Match Info

Date: 21 October 2020, Wednesday


	Mantova		Matelica

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	1.85	3.25	3.8	Watch
	2	3.15	3.35
	2.03	2.95	3.5
	2.1	3.21	3.47
	2.1	3.1	3.5
	2.02	3.3	3.52	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.32)	3.18 ↓ (3.24)	3.52 ↑ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mantova
45.4%

Draw
28.7%

Matelica
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.8%

28.5%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

19.4%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mantova's performance.

Matelica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matelica might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-18.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mantova that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matelica than the current prediction. (+20.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matelica could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Mantova - Matelica Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Recent matches Mantova is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Matelica is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mantova could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Mantova will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
18.10.20	Sambenedettese - Mantova	2:0 ✺
11.10.20	Mantova - Perugia	5:1 ✺
07.10.20	Padova - Mantova	3:1 ✺
04.10.20	Mantova - Carpi	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Fermana - Mantova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 LWLLW
- Matelica Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
17.10.20	Matelica - Modena	2:1 ✺
11.10.20	Vis Pesaro - Matelica	2:1 ✺
07.10.20	Matelica - Südtirol-Alto Adige	1:1 ✺
03.10.20	Matelica - FeralpiSalò	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	Triestina - Matelica	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 WLTWW

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