Match Info

Date: 18 October 2020, Sunday


	Sambenedettese		Mantova

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.2	3.1
	2.35	2.85	3	Watch
	2.35	2.8	3.05
	2.37	2.8	3
	2.47	2.85	3.18
	2.35	3	3.1
	2.44	2.77	3.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (2.08)	2.9 ↓ (3.13)	3.09 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sambenedettese
38.8%

Draw
31.6%

Mantova
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.4%

28.8%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

19.1%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sambenedettese that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (+12.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mantova could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sambenedettese - Mantova Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Sambenedettese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Sambenedettese won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.20	Fano - Sambenedettese	0:2 ✺
07.10.20	Sambenedettese - Fermana	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Sambenedettese - Gubbio	2:1 ✺
27.09.20	Carpi - Sambenedettese	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia
23.09.20	Alessandria - Sambenedettese	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WTWLL
- Mantova FC
Italian Serie C Group B
11.10.20	Mantova - Perugia	5:1 ✺
07.10.20	Padova - Mantova	3:1 ✺
04.10.20	Mantova - Carpi	1:2 ✺
27.09.20	Fermana - Mantova	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
18.09.20	Cittadella - Mantova	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.01.17	Mantova - Sambenedettese	1:1
10.09.16	Sambenedettese - Mantova	1:3

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