Match Info

Date: 3 January 2021, Sunday


	Marítimo		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.2
	2.35	3.05	3.2
	2.28	3.05	3.3
	2.36	3.28	3.35
	2.3	3.1	3.3
	2.3	3.22	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↓ (2.64)	3.13 ↑ (3.05)	3.29 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marítimo
41%

Draw
30.2%

Boavista
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.8%

30.9%

33.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.2%

22%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marítimo's performance.

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Marítimo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
52.8%	36.1%	11.1%

Marítimo - Boavista Predictions

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 19 - 52.8%). Boavista will win (votes: 4 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 36.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Marítimo: 36.5% – 69.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation to Liga Portugal 2).

Marítimo has a small chance of relegated (15%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Marítimo is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Boavista is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Marítimo will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Marítimo won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Marítimo won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CS Marítimo
Liga Portugal
28.12.20	Rio Ave - Marítimo	1:3 ✺
Taça de Portugal
23.12.20	Marítimo - Salgueiros 08	2:1 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
19.12.20	Marítimo - BSAD	1:0 ✺
07.12.20	Farense - Marítimo	2:1 ✺
30.11.20	Marítimo - Benfica	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWLL
- Boavista SC
Liga Portugal
28.12.20	Boavista - Braga	1:4 ✺
20.12.20	Paços de Ferreira - Boavista	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
12.12.20	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:1 ✺
Liga Portugal
06.12.20	Rio Ave - Boavista	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Boavista - BSAD	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
08.07.20	Boavista - Marítimo	0:1
14.12.19	Marítimo - Boavista	1:0
18.05.19	Marítimo - Boavista	0:1
12.01.19	Boavista - Marítimo	0:1
31.01.18	Boavista - Marítimo	2:1
20.08.17	Marítimo - Boavista	1:0
12.03.17	Boavista - Marítimo	3:0

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