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Current Win Probability
Boavista 18%
Draw 24.6%
Braga 57.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
20.6%
25.7%
53.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
16.6%
20.7%
66.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
Braga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Braga than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Braga could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
9.6%
9.6%
80.7%
Boavista - Braga Predictions
Users Predictions:
Braga will win
(92 of 114 users predict this - 80.7%). Confidence interval (95%): 73.46% – 87.94%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Preview
No spectators.
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation to Liga Portugal 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion to Europa Conference League (Qualification)).
Braga has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (44%), has a small chance of win league (8%).
Recent matches Boavista is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Braga is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Braga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Recently Boavista have a series of guest games.
In this match Braga is a favorite.
Last 13 head-to-head matches Boavista won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 12-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.