Match Info

Date: 12 December 2020, Saturday


	Estoril Praia		Boavista

	1	X	2
	2.55	3	2.62
	2.6	3	2.75
	2.55	3	2.65
	2.55	3	2.7
	2.64	3.04	2.89
	2.7	2.88	2.75
	2.78	3.06	2.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.5)	3 ↓ (3.2)	2.72 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Estoril Praia
35.2%

Draw
30.8%

Boavista
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

28.1%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

21.9%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Estoril Praia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Boavista has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Estoril Praia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Estoril Praia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (+12.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Boavista could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Estoril Praia - Boavista Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Estoril in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Boavista is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Estoril could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Estoril won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Estoril won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Estoril Praia
Taça de Portugal
09.12.20	Estoril Praia - Lusitano GC	5:0 ✺
Portuguese Liga 2
06.12.20	Vilafranquense - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
29.11.20	Estoril Praia - Vizela	2:2 ✺
14.11.20	Estoril Praia - Cova De Piedade	Estoril awarded ✺
08.11.20	Oliveirense - Estoril Praia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWT?W
- Boavista SC
Liga Portugal
06.12.20	Rio Ave - Boavista	0:0 ✺
29.11.20	Boavista - BSAD	0:0 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.11.20	Vizela - Boavista	0:1 ET ✺
Liga Portugal
08.11.20	Farense - Boavista	3:1 ✺
02.11.20	Boavista - Benfica	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.1 TTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
10.03.18	Boavista - Estoril Praia	1:0
20.10.17	Estoril Praia - Boavista	0:3
17.03.17	Estoril Praia - Boavista	0:0
29.10.16	Boavista - Estoril Praia	0:0
16.04.16	Estoril Praia - Boavista	1:0
11.12.15	Boavista - Estoril Praia	1:1
23.05.15	Estoril Praia - Boavista	2:0

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