Match Info

Liga FUTVE 2 - Round 11

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	18:00	DAZN App
Mexico	15:00	DAZN App
Peru	16:00	DAZN App
Uruguay	18:00	DAZN App
Venezuela	17:00	DAZN App
International	21:00	FIFA+


	Marítimo de La Guaira		Aragua

	1	X	2
	1.87	3.1	3.8
	1.92	3.05	3.85	Watch
	1.91	3.16	3.67
	1.93	3.27	3.81	Watch
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.86	3.2	4.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↑ (1.8)	3.13 ↓ (3.29)	3.9 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Marítimo de La Guaira
47.7%

Draw
29%

Aragua
23.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51%

27.9%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.7%

28.3%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marítimo de La Guaira has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Aragua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marítimo de La Guaira than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aragua than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Marítimo de La Guaira - Aragua Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 6 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2.

Marítimo is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

In recent matches, Aragua has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Marítimo is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Marítimo won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 0.9:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Marítimo won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Marítimo de La Guaira
Venezuelan Segunda Division
10.05.26	Deportivo Miranda - Marítimo de La Guaira	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Marítimo de La Guaira - Monagas B	2:2 ✺
26.04.26	Atletico Avila - Marítimo de La Guaira	3:2 ✺
12.04.26	Dynamo Puerto - Marítimo de La Guaira	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Marítimo de La Guaira - Mineros de Guayana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLT
- Aragua FC
Venezuelan Segunda Division
09.05.26	Aragua - Atletico Avila	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Bolivar - Aragua	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Aragua - Deportivo Miranda	1:0 ✺
12.04.26	Monagas B - Aragua	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Aragua - Dynamo Puerto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLT

Latest Head to Head

Venezuelan Segunda Division
21.03.26	Aragua - Marítimo de La Guaira	0:1
30.08.25	Marítimo de La Guaira - Aragua	2:1
13.07.25	Aragua - Marítimo de La Guaira	0:0
14.05.25	Marítimo de La Guaira - Aragua	0:1
30.03.25	Aragua - Marítimo de La Guaira	1:1
Copa Venezuela
30.06.24	Marítimo de La Guaira - Aragua	2:2
13.06.24	Aragua - Marítimo de La Guaira	0:0

Marítimo de La Guaira - Aragua