Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday


	Mara Sugar		Kenya CB

	1	X	2
	2.52	2.52	3.1
	2.47	2.75	3.08	Watch
	2.49	2.72	3.21
	2.37	2.8	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↑ (2.42)	2.7 ↓ (2.74)	3.1 ↑ (3.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
36.9%

Draw
33.7%

Kenya CB
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

33.1%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.9%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kenya CB than the current prediction. (-1%)

Mara Sugar - Kenya CB Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Premier League (Relegation)).

Mara Sugar has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

KCB's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Mara Sugar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).

Including home match between the teams, Mara Sugar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
15.11.25	Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
08.11.25	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Mara Sugar - Bandari	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Sofapaka - Mara Sugar	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Mara Sugar - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTTT
- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
14.11.25	Kenya CB - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
09.11.25	Bandari - Kenya CB	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Muranga Seal - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
25.10.25	AFC Leopards - Kenya CB	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.04.25	Mara Sugar - Kenya CB	1:1
21.12.24	Kenya CB - Mara Sugar	4:3

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