Match Info

Premier League - Round 9

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday


	Posta Rangers		Mara Sugar

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.15	2.54
	2.19	3.20	3.08	Watch
	2.67	3.08	2.62
	2.14	3.14	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.41 ↑ (2.19)	3.14 ↓ (3.2)	2.84 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Posta Rangers
38.3%

Draw
29.3%

Mara Sugar
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.7%

28.6%

29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

29.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Posta Rangers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Mara Sugar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Posta Rangers than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mara Sugar than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Chonjo B. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 10).

In recent matches, Posta Rangers has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mara Sugar is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Posta Rangers has had a series of away games.

Posta Rangers is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Posta Rangers won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Posta Rangers won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Mara Sugar - the odds 3.08 are the expected chance of winning is 29.68%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Posta Rangers FC
Kenyan Premier League
10.11.25	Sofapaka - Posta Rangers	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Police FC - Posta Rangers	0:0 ✺
30.10.25	Posta Rangers - Muranga Seal	2:2 ✺
26.10.25	Gor Mahia - Posta Rangers	3:0 ✺
15.10.25	Shabana - Posta Rangers	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LTTLW
- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
08.11.25	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	2:0 ✺
01.11.25	Mara Sugar - Bandari	0:0 ✺
28.10.25	Sofapaka - Mara Sugar	2:2 ✺
24.10.25	Mara Sugar - Bidco United	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
19.02.25	Posta Rangers - Mara Sugar	1:1
23.10.24	Mara Sugar - Posta Rangers	1:1

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