Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 5 October 2025, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Kenya CB		Gor Mahia

	1	X	2
	4.15	2.28	2.32
	4.87	2.35	2.11
	4.24	2.34	2.36	Watch
	4.31	2.52	2.13
	2.9	2.9	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↑ (3.05)	2.48 ↓ (3.16)	2.26 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kenya CB
22.4%

Draw
37%

Gor Mahia
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.9%

29.8%

39.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kenya CB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kenya CB's form might have worsened.

Gor Mahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Kenya CB - Gor Mahia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KCB won 0.

KCB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, KCB won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:10. (average 0.8:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, KCB won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:2. (average 0.2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
30.09.25	Kariobangi Sharks - Kenya CB	0:1 ✺
26.09.25	Kenya CB - Mathare United	0:1 ✺
19.09.25	Tusker - Kenya CB	0:2 ✺
15.06.25	Kenya CB - Nairobi City Stars	1:2 ✺
19.05.25	Bidco United - Kenya CB	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WLWLL
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
27.09.25	Sofapaka - Gor Mahia	0:2 ✺
21.09.25	Gor Mahia - Bidco United	0:1 ✺
Kenyan FKF Cup
29.06.25	Gor Mahia - Nairobi United	1:2 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
15.06.25	Ulinzi Stars - Gor Mahia	2:3 ✺
02.06.25	Gor Mahia - AFC Leopards	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
06.04.25	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1
23.10.24	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	0:0
16.05.24	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:0
01.10.23	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	1:1
17.03.23	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:0
04.01.23	Gor Mahia - Kenya CB	0:1
23.04.22	Kenya CB - Gor Mahia	0:1

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kenya Commercial Bank SC
Kenyan Premier League
28.10.26	Kenya CB - Mombasa United	✺
- Gor Mahia
Kenyan Premier League
28.10.26	Kakamega Homeboyz - Gor Mahia	✺

Kenya CB - Gor Mahia