Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 28 October 2026, Wednesday 🔴 Live Now

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	Azam Sports 3


	Mara Sugar		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	3	2.62	2.45
	3.08	2.67	2.42
	3.14	2.71	2.47	Watch
	3	2.6	2.35
	3.07	2.69	2.43
	3.1	2.7	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.07 ↑ (2.8)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)	2.44 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Mara Sugar
29.3%

Draw
33.7%

AFC Leopards
36.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.7%

32.1%

35.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Mara Sugar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Leopards may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Mara Sugar has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Mara Sugar against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:2 goals (averaging 1.5:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Mara Sugar	3	1	2	0	4:3	1	5
4	Leopards	3	1	2	0	2:1	1	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Mara Sugar FC
Kenyan Premier League
24.10.26	Ulinzi Stars - Mara Sugar	0:0 ✺
19.10.26	Mara Sugar - Mombasa United	2:1 ✺
31.05.26	Muranga Seal - Mara Sugar	2:1 ✺
24.04.26	Tusker - Mara Sugar	0:1 ✺
18.04.26	Kariobangi Sharks - Mara Sugar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWLWL
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
25.10.26	AFC Leopards - Shabana	0:0 ✺
20.10.26	Police FC - AFC Leopards	1:2 ✺
14.10.26	AFC Leopards - Bandari	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	AFC Leopards - Kampala City Council	1:0 ✺
Kenyan Premier League
31.05.26	AFC Leopards - Bidco United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 TWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
08.11.25	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	2:0
15.02.25	Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards	1:2
10.11.24	AFC Leopards - Mara Sugar	1:1

Mara Sugar - AFC Leopards