Match Info

Cearense - Round 1

Date: 6 January 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)


	Maracanã		Ferroviário Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.13	4.05	Watch
	1.95	2.88	3.8
	1.99	3.13	4.02
	2.45	3.2	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2)	3.09 ↓ (3.24)	3.69 ↓ (3.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maracanã
44.8%

Draw
30.1%

Ferroviário Fortaleza
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.5%

28.6%

24.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Ferroviário Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Douglas Dias (G) 2. Oliveira V. 13. Guilherme 4. Geilson Souza 20. Edvaine 15. Lincoln (C) 8. Thalison 26. Robert 10. Esquerdinha 11. Luis Soares 18. Junior Cesar	33. Sivaldo Junior (G) 2. Ramires 6. Pedrinho 8. Lucas Black 3. Leo Paraiso (C) 5. Luan 14. Bruno Miranda 10. Thalisson 9. Jefinho 11. Felipe Sales 7. Carlinhos
Substitutes
12. Almeida V. (G) 17. Joao Gabriel 25. Marlon Silva 3. Pedro da Dalto 32. Santos D. (G) 27. Shider 6. Valdo Paraiba 21. Vitinho 5. Welton Santana 14. Willian	4. Iago Reis 23. Jeffao 15. Joao Neto 17. Kiuan 26. Luiz Meneses 12. Oliveira P. 21. Paulo Ricardo 20. Thiago Pulga 93. Victor Brasil (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Ramires 🟨,
30', Robert 🟨,
35', Thalison 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Esquerdinha ↓, Valdo Paraiba ↑,
65', Luan 🟨,
65', Luis Soares 🟨,
73', Carlinhos ↓, Kiuan ↑,
77', Junior Cesar ↓, Victor Hugo ↑,
78', Robert ↓, Joao Gabriel ↑,
81', 0 - 1, Kiuan ⚽, Jefinho (A),
82', Oliveira V. ↓, Marlon Silva ↑,
82', Edvaine ↓, Shider ↑,
84', Luan ↓, Joao Neto ↑,
90+2', Jefinho ↓, Paulo Ricardo ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maracanã won 2.

Maracanã is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Recently, Maracanã has had a series of away games.

Maracanã could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Maracanã won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Maracanã won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
05.12.25	Maracanã - Tirol	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Ceará B - Maracanã	1:2 ✺
26.11.25	Itapipoca - Maracanã	0:1 penalties ✺
15.11.25	Vila Real - Maracanã	0:1 ✺
09.11.25	Caucaia - Maracanã	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WWWWW
- Ferroviário Fortaleza
Brazilian Copa Fares Lopes
27.11.25	Tirol - Ferroviário Fortaleza	3:2 ✺
23.11.25	Fortaleza B - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 ✺
09.11.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Atlético Cearense	2:1 ✺
05.11.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Itapipoca	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Quixadá - Ferroviário Fortaleza	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
15.03.25	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1
Copa do Brasil
26.02.25	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	2:1 penalties
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
02.02.25	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:0
17.02.24	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	0:0
25.02.23	Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:3
11.02.23	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	2:0
08.02.22	Ferroviário Fortaleza - Maracanã	1:1

Maracanã - Ferroviário Fortaleza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide