The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Maracanã 45.6%
Draw 28.2%
Santa Cruz de Natal 26.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39%
30.2%
30.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.7%
29.2%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maracanã has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maracanã's performance.
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maracanã that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Santa Cruz de Natal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Maracanã - Santa Cruz de Natal Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
33', 0 - 1, ⚽,
39', 🟥,
45+3', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Maracanã has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Santa Cruz de Natal is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Maracanã could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Maracanã won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
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