The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Santa Cruz de Natal 26.4%
Draw 31.3%
Sousa 42.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32%
30.7%
37.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.7%
31.4%
36.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santa Cruz de Natal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Santa Cruz de Natal's form might have worsened.
Sousa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sousa's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz de Natal than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Santa Cruz de Natal, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sousa than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sousa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Santa Cruz de Natal - Sousa Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
74', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
Recent matches Santa Cruz de Natal is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Sousa is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Santa Cruz de Natal could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Santa Cruz de Natal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 1:1.5).
Including matches at home between the teams Santa Cruz de Natal won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0
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