Match Info
Serie D - Round 14Date: 26 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Almir Dutra (Maracanaú)
|
 |
|
 |
|
|
Maracanã |
|
Tocantinópolis |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.5 |
3.1 |
2.5 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.15 |
2.52 |
|
 |
2.52 |
3.16 |
2.54 |
|
 |
2.66 |
3.24 |
2.52 |
 Watch |
 |
2.53 |
3.15 |
2.52 |
|
 |
1.88 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↑
(1.88) |
3.2 ↓
(3.4) |
2.68 ↓
(3.5) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maracanã
37.5% | Draw
28.5% | Tocantinópolis
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Maracanã's form might have worsened.Tocantinópolis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tocantinópolis's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+10.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maracanã, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (-8.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tocantinópolis, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Maracanã - Tocantinópolis Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maracanã (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Tocantinópolis (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Maracanã (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tocantinópolis (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 24', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6)Maracanã is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Tocantinópolis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2). In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maracanã won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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