Match Info

Serie D - Round 13

Date: 19 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Maracanã

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.6	5.75
	1.5	3.65	5.9
	1.59	3.17	5.23
	1.56	3.70	5.91	Watch
	1.49	3.55	6.83
	1.49	3.59	5.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.58)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	5.92 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
59.3%

Draw
25.5%

Maracanã
15.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

25.4%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3%

24.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Maracanã has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Maranhão aligns with the current prediction.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maracanã than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Maranhão - Maracanã Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Ryan ⚽,
38', 2 - 0, Andre Radija ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 3 - 0, Clessione ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Maranhão has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Maracanã is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Maranhão is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
05.07.25	Tocantinópolis - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
28.06.25	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Parnahyba - Maranhão	2:2 ✺
08.06.25	Maranhão - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 LTWTT
- Maracanã EC
Brazilian Serie D
12.07.25	Iguatu - Maracanã	2:1 ✺
06.07.25	Maracanã - Altos	1:3 ✺
29.06.25	Maracanã - Parnahyba	2:1 ✺
14.06.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Maracanã	2:0 ✺
08.06.25	Maracanã - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.25	Maracanã - Maranhão	0:0

Maranhão - Maracanã: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide