Match Info
Serie D - Round 12Date: 12 July 2025, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Sampaio Corrêa |
|
Tocantinópolis |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
1.55 |
3.75 |
4.8 |
|
 |
1.38 |
4.05 |
7.3 |
|
 |
1.37 |
4.04 |
7.89 |
|
 |
1.36 |
4.05 |
8.55 |
|
 |
1.54 |
3.76 |
4.84 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.44 ↓ (1.5) |
3.93 ↓ (4) |
6.68 ↑ (5.2) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Sampaio Corrêa 63.2% | Draw 23.2% | Tocantinópolis 13.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sampaio Corrêa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa than the current prediction. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+3%)Sampaio Corrêa - Tocantinópolis Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 45', 1 - 0, Alan Stence ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 87', 2 - 0, Yan ⚽,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game. In this match, Sampaio Corrêa is a strong favorite.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sampaio Corrêa won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;