Match Info

Serie D - Round 11

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday


	Tocantinópolis		Maranhão

	1	X	2
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.4	2.88	2.15
	3.8	2.91	2.04
				Watch
	3.51	3.06	2.05
	3.25	3.15	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.41 ↑ (3.25)	3 ↓ (3.15)	2.08 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tocantinópolis
26.5%

Draw
30.1%

Maranhão
43.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.8%

28.6%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

28.6%

43.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tocantinópolis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tocantinópolis than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Tocantinópolis - Maranhão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
45', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Maranhão will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tocantinópolis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 1.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tocantinópolis won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tocantinópolis EC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Tocantinópolis	4:0 ✺
13.06.25	Iguatu - Tocantinópolis	0:1 ✺
07.06.25	Tocantinópolis - Parnahyba	0:0 ✺
01.06.25	Parnahyba - Tocantinópolis	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Tocantinópolis - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LWTLT
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
28.06.25	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Parnahyba - Maranhão	2:2 ✺
08.06.25	Maranhão - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
30.05.25	Iguatu - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Maranhão - Parnahyba	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WTTLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
10.05.25	Maranhão - Tocantinópolis	2:3
18.06.24	Tocantinópolis - Maranhão	1:1
02.06.24	Maranhão - Tocantinópolis	0:1
16.07.23	Maranhão - Tocantinópolis	2:1
14.05.23	Tocantinópolis - Maranhão	0:0

Tocantinópolis - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide