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Current Win Probability
Maranhão 55.3%
Draw 28.6%
IAPE 16.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.6%
26.4%
19%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57%
27.6%
18.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
IAPE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for IAPE than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Maranhão - IAPE Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.75, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg.
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Maranhense (Play Offs: Semi~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 1.
Maranhão has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
IAPE is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Maranhão is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Maranhão won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:2. (average 2.8:0.5).
Last Results with these Odds
Maranhão - the odds 1.67 are the expected chance of winning is 54.59%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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