Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 14

Date: 21 July 2024, Sunday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Fluminense Piaui

	1	X	2
	1.46	3.9	5.75
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.42	3.96	7.51	Watch
	1.4	4	6.5
	1.41	4.1	6.99
	1.44	4	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.79)	3.99 ↑ (3.17)	6.63 ↑ (4.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
63.6%

Draw
22.7%

Fluminense Piaui
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

28.7%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

27.7%

19.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maranhão's performance.

Fluminense Piaui has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fluminense Piaui might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-11.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Maranhão that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fluminense Piaui than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fluminense Piaui could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Maranhão - Fluminense Piaui Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Brunao ⚽,
45+6', 2 - 0, Brunao (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
82', 3 - 0, Bacurau ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6).

Maranhão is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals)

Maranhão is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fluminense PI is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Maranhão could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Maranhão is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Maranhão won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Maranhão won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
13.07.24	Ríver PI - Maranhão	0:1 ✺
07.07.24	Maranhão - Moto Club de São Luís	5:1 ✺
30.06.24	Águia de Marabá - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
27.06.24	Maranhão - Cametá	1:0 ✺
18.06.24	Tocantinópolis - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WWTWT
- Fluminense Piaui
Brazilian Serie D
14.07.24	Fluminense Piaui - Águia de Marabá	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Tocantinópolis - Fluminense Piaui	1:1 ✺
29.06.24	Ríver PI - Fluminense Piaui	2:2 ✺
26.06.24	Fluminense Piaui - Altos	1:0 ✺
16.06.24	Moto Club de São Luís - Fluminense Piaui	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
28.04.24	Fluminense Piaui - Maranhão	1:2
28.06.23	Fluminense Piaui - Maranhão	1:1
03.06.23	Maranhão - Fluminense Piaui	2:0

Maranhão - Fluminense Piaui: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide