Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie D - Round 11

Date: 30 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal Zinho de Oliveira (Marabá)


	Águia de Marabá		Maranhão

	1	X	2
	3.2	2.95	2.1
	3.1	3	2.25
	3.22	2.88	2.25
	3.26	3	2.23
	3.1	3	2.1
	3.22	3.12	2.29
	3.1	3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↓ (3.49)	2.99 ↓ (3.1)	2.21 ↑ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Águia de Marabá
28.6%

Draw
30.3%

Maranhão
41.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

29.2%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26.2%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Águia de Marabá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Águia de Marabá than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Águia de Marabá - Maranhão Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 8 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Maranhão could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Maranhão will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Águia de Marabá won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Águia de Marabá
Brazilian Serie D
22.06.24	Águia de Marabá - Moto Club de São Luís	2:0 ✺
15.06.24	Altos - Águia de Marabá	2:0 ✺
12.06.24	Águia de Marabá - Tocantinópolis	0:0 ✺
09.06.24	Tocantinópolis - Águia de Marabá	3:0 ✺
01.06.24	Águia de Marabá - Altos	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 WLTLT
- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
27.06.24	Maranhão - Cametá	1:0 ✺
18.06.24	Tocantinópolis - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
15.06.24	Maranhão - Sampaio Corrêa	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
11.06.24	Maranhão - Altos	0:2 ✺
08.06.24	Altos - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
18.05.24	Maranhão - Águia de Marabá	4:0

Águia de Marabá - Maranhão: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide