Match Info
BRAZIL: Serie D - Play Offs - 1/16-finalsDate: 4 August 2024, SundayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
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Maranhão |
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Manaus |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.05 |
3 |
3.3 |
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 |
2.1 |
3 |
3.5 |
|
 |
2.04 |
3.05 |
3.51 |
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 |
2.07 |
3.06 |
3.61 |
Watch |
 |
1.95 |
3.1 |
3.4 |
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 |
2.01 |
3.18 |
3.51 |
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2.1 |
3 |
3.5 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.07) |
3.06 ↑ (2.88) |
3.48 ↓ (3.69) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maranhão 44.3% | Draw 29.6% | Manaus 26.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)Manaus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Manaus than the current prediction. (-2.4%)Maranhão - Manaus Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- Penalties (5 - 6)
- 1, (Pen),
- 1, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 2, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 3, (Pen),
- 4, Cruz F. (Pen),
- 4, (Pen),
- 5, Joel (Pen),
- 5, (Pen),
- 6, Alvinho (Pen),
- 6, (Pen),
Preview
2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1. Maranhão is Qualified for Serie D (Play Offs 1/16~finals) Now both teams are in good shape. Manaus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days. Recently Manaus have a series of home games. Maranhão will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Maranhão won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;