Match Info

Serie D - Round 8

Date: 8 June 2025, Sunday

Location: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)


	Maranhão		Iguatu

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.1	4.33
	1.95	3	3.75
	1.98	3.06	3.92	Watch
	1.89	3.05	4.14
	1.81	3	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.88 ↓ (2.14)	3.04 ↑ (2.9)	4.11 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Maranhão
48.2%

Draw
29.7%

Iguatu
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

31.3%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.2%

30.7%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Maranhão has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Maranhão's performance.

Iguatu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Iguatu than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Maranhão - Iguatu Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Maranhão (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
85', 1 - 0, Vagalume ⚽,
90+12', 🟥,
90+13', 🟥,
90+13', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Maranhão will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Last Results with these Odds

Maranhão - the odds 2.14 are the expected chance of winning is 42.36%, but this team recently wins 86% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Maranhão AC
Brazilian Serie D
30.05.25	Iguatu - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Maranhão - Parnahyba	1:1 ✺
21.05.25	Sampaio Corrêa - Maranhão	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Maranhense
17.05.25	Maranhão - Imperatriz de Desportos	2:0 ✺
14.05.25	Imperatriz de Desportos - Maranhão	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LTTWT
- AD Iguatu
Brazilian Serie D
30.05.25	Iguatu - Maranhão	1:0 ✺
24.05.25	Tocantinópolis - Iguatu	1:1 ✺
17.05.25	Iguatu - Altos	2:3 ✺
10.05.25	Iguatu - Parnahyba	3:0 ✺
04.05.25	Maracanã - Iguatu	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
30.05.25	Iguatu - Maranhão	1:0

Maranhão - Iguatu: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide