Match Info
Serie C - First stage - Round 11Date: 20 June 2026, SaturdayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
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Maranhão |
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Paysandu |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
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 Watch |
 |
2.87 |
3.00 |
2.25 |
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 |
2.75 |
3.10 |
2.55 |
Watch |
 |
3.31 |
3.15 |
2.26 |
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 |
2.84 |
2.95 |
2.64 |
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 |
3.00 |
3.00 |
2.20 |
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 |
3.09 |
3.29 |
2.21 |
Watch |
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.5) |
3.08 ↑
(2.97) |
2.35 ↓
(2.66) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maranhão
30.9% | Draw
29.9% | Paysandu
39.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Paysandu's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Maranhão, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Paysandu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.Maranhão - Paysandu Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
3.  Edson Fernando
29. Felipe Cruz
4. Lucao
6. Lucas Santos
19. Rafael Teixeira
15. Rosivan
14. Tiburcio
20. Vagalume
8. Vander (C)
12. Vitao
17. Will
| 12. Gabriel Mesquita (G)
31.  Bonifazi F.
14. Bruno Bispo
15. Castro
2. Edilson
5. Henrico
98. Juninho
75. Kleiton Pego
10. Marcinho (C)
39. Pedro Henrique
19. Thayllon
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| Substitutes |
13. Caio Victor
23. Caue (G)
7. Felipe Sales
9. Joelson
10. Jorge Rocha
18. Keven
26. Luis Gustavo
5. Railson
22. Rodrigo
| 9. Italo Carvalho
1. Jean Drosny (G)
4. larley Brito
26. Libonati
99. Lucas Cardoso
6. Luccao
77. Luciano Taboca
30. Thalyson
25. Tiago Indio
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| Coaches |
Testoni J.
| Junior Rocha
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Rafael Teixeira ↓, Luis Gustavo ↑,
- 46', Luis Gustavo 🟨,
- 53', Vagalume 🟨,
- 64', Henrico ↓, Tiago Indio ↑,
- 64', Kleiton Pego ↓, Lucas Cardoso ↑,
- 71', Edson Fernando ↓, Railson ↑,
- 71', Felipe Cruz ↓, Felipe Sales ↑,
- 71', Will ↓, Joelson ↑,
- 74', Thayllon ↓, Thalyson ↑,
- 74', Juninho ↓, Italo Carvalho ↑,
- 79', Rosivan ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
- 80', Bonifazi F. ↓, Luciano Taboca ↑,
- 90+4', 0 - 1, Italo Carvalho ⚽,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).Including home match between the teams, Maranhão won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Copa do Brasil | | | 16.04.14 | Paysandu - Maranhão | 2:1 | | 02.04.14 | Maranhão - Paysandu | 2:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
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