Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Orlando Scarpelli (Florianópolis)


	Figueirense		Paysandu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	3.05	2.72	Watch
	2.5	3.2	2.79
	2.57	3.05	2.83	Watch
	2.4	2.9	2.75
	2.46	2.96	2.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.46 ↓ (2.58)	3.03 ↑ (3.01)	2.76 ↑ (2.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Figueirense
37%

Draw
30%

Paysandu
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35%

30%

35%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

30.3%

34.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Paysandu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Figueirense - Paysandu Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Paysandu (1.95) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paysandu (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
52. Igo Gabriel (G) 6. Arthur Henrique 14. Breno 99. Emerson Galego 30. Jean Mangabeira 82. Jose Carlos 2. Leo Maia 3. Leonan Santos 9. Lucas Alves 37. Lucas Dias (C) 7. Raynan	12. Gabriel Mesquita (G) 14. Bruno Bispo 98. Juninho 4. larley Brito 26. Libonati 99. Lucas Cardoso 77. Luciano Taboca 20. Matheus Capixaba 96. Matheus Vargas 39. Pedro Henrique 30. Thalyson
Substitutes
11. Arthur Martins 8. Dudu 12. Fabricio Santana (G) 35. Flavio 20. Guilherme Vieira 91. Hyuri 25. Jhonnathan 77. Joao Choco 17. Mailson 5. Renan Areias 66. Ryan Carlos 22. Vitor Ricardo	31. Bonifazi F. 23. Brian Macapa 15. Castro 2. Edilson 9. Italo Carvalho 75. Kleiton Pego 6. Luccao 41. Marcao (G) 19. Thayllon
Coaches
Raul Cabral	Junior Rocha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
16', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽,
23', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
25', 1 - 1, Lucas Alves ⚽,
32', Jose Carlos 🟨,
33', Lucas Dias 🟨,
44', Pedro Henrique 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', Breno 🟨,
54', Breno ↓, Dudu ↑,
54', Matheus Vargas ↓, Brian Macapa ↑,
58', Raynan 🟨,
67', Arthur Henrique 🟨,
67', Thalyson ↓, Edilson ↑,
67', Juninho ↓, Kleiton Pego ↑,
68', Matheus Capixaba ↓, Thayllon ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Emerson Galego ⚽,
73', Brian Macapa 🟨,
76', Luciano Taboca 🟨,
77', Arthur Henrique ↓, Ryan Carlos ↑,
77', Raynan ↓, Renan Areias ↑,
79', Luciano Taboca 🟨,
82', Libonati ↓, Bonifazi F. ↑,
85', Jose Carlos ↓, Arthur Martins ↑,
85', Lucas Alves ↓, Mailson ↑,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 2.

Figueirense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Paysandu is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paysandu may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Figueirense won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Figueirense won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 2:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
24.05.26	Confiança - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Figueirense - Itabaiana	0:1 ✺
10.05.26	Amazonas - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
04.05.26	Figueirense - Barra Santa Catarina	0:3 ✺
26.04.26	Anápolis - Figueirense	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 TLWLL
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Copa Norte
28.05.26	Nacional AM - Paysandu	2:4 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.26	Paysandu - Floresta	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
20.05.26	Paysandu - Nacional AM	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
17.05.26	Caxias - Paysandu	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
13.05.26	Vasco da Gama - Paysandu	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
08.05.23	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:0
11.09.22	Paysandu - Figueirense	1:0
03.09.22	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:1
25.07.22	Paysandu - Figueirense	1:1
Brazilian Serie B
13.11.18	Figueirense - Paysandu	2:3
27.07.18	Paysandu - Figueirense	2:0
24.11.17	Figueirense - Paysandu	1:0

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