Match Info
Serie D - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 14 September 2025, SundayLocation: Estádio Governador João Castelo (São Luís)
|
 |
|
 |
|
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Maranhão |
|
Santa Cruz Recife |
|
|
1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
2.72 |
2.52 |
2.92 |
|
 |
2.67 |
2.59 |
2.88 |
|
 |
2.62 |
2.62 |
3.05 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.67 ↑ (2.52) |
2.58 ↓ (3) |
2.95 ↑ (2.58) |
|
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Maranhão 34% | Draw 35.2% | Santa Cruz Recife 30.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Maranhão has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Santa Cruz Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maranhão than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santa Cruz Recife than the current prediction. (+3.7%)Maranhão - Santa Cruz Recife Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 78', 0 - 1, Renato ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.Now, both teams are in good form.Maranhão may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times. The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match. In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;